TokyoHardSemi-finals22 Sep 2025 · 08:25
L. Nardi
#163 · Italy
VS
M. Arnaldi
#104 · Italy
NARDI
3.03
·
ARNALDI
1.4

Odds

Market
Nardi
Arnaldi
Winner
3.03
1.4

Player analysis

L. Nardi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning L. Nardi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Nardi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.76Trend up

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 41. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 10.6, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.25Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nardi
Stat
Arnaldi
55.7%
Win rate
50.3%
123–98
W–L
81–80

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4