Monte CarloClayATP Final5 Apr 2026 · 14:10
M. Arnaldi
ATP #104Italy
VS
A. Muller
ATP #127France
ARNALDI
1.93
·
MULLER
1.76

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Muller
Winner
1.93
1.76
Total
line 20.0
1.39
Over 20.0
2.59
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.51
Over 20.5
2.26
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.67
-2.0 games
2.05
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.5
-3.0 games
2.38
+3 games

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 37. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 7.0, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 1.2Trend mixed

A. Muller comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.3, meaning A. Muller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Muller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Muller has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -9.33Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Muller
62.9%
Win rate
53%
122–72
W–L
140–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
ArnaldiMuller

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #104Arnaldi vs MullerATP #127

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Arnaldi 63% (12272) · Muller 53% (140124)

Last match at Monte Carlo

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

L7 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - 1/32-finals
vs C. Moutet · 6-4 6-1
1st serve67%1st won59%Aces0BP conv20%

Quick comparison

ArnaldiStatMuller
63%Clay W%53%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)20%
5Aces (L5 avg)3