Odds
Player analysis
M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Arnaldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
R. Gasquet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning R. Gasquet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving R. Gasquet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Gasquet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | McDonald | 0-6 1-6 | L |
| 19 Jan | Rublev | 4-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 3 Jan | Gaston | 6-1 5-7 7-6 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fearnley | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 23 Oct | Zverev | 4-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 18 Jul | Cobolli | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 17 Jul | Ajdukovic | 5-7 6-2 10-6 | W |
| 29 May | Sinner | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | L |
| 26 May | Atmane | 2-6 6-2 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Altmaier | 7-5 5-7 6-2 | L |

