F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 21.5, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Auger-Aliassime has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -44 over recent matches.

D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. D. Altmaier is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.