StuttgartClaySemi-finals20 Apr 2025 · 13:10
E. Alexandrova
#14 · Russia
VS
J. Ostapenko
#40 · Latvia
ALEXANDROVA
1.7
·
OSTAPENKO
2.3

Odds

Market
Alexandrova
Ostapenko
Winner
1.7
2.3
Total
line 18.5
1.33
Over 18.5
3.42
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
3.1
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
3.91
-5.5 games
1.27
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
3.51
-5.0 games
1.3
+5 games

Player analysis

E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -2.16Trend up

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.62Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Alexandrova
Stat
Ostapenko
53.8%
Win rate
61.2%
85–73
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults7

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

25
Hard 13
Clay 11
Indoor 01
E. Alexandrova vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHard1/16-finalsOstapenko4-6 2-6
StuttgartClaySemi-finalsOstapenko4-6 4-6
WTA LinzIndoorFinalOstapenko6-2 6-3
WTA AdelaideHardSemi-finalsOstapenko2-6 6-7
WTA San DiegoHard1/16-finalsOstapenko6-7 7-6 5-7
SeoulHardFinalAlexandrova6-7
MadridClay1/32-finalsAlexandrova6-2 4-6 6-4