Ka. Pliskova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Ka. Pliskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.