CincinnatiHardSemi-finals17 Aug 2025 · 00:30
A. Zverev
#4 · Germany
VS
C. Alcaraz
#1 · Spain
ZVEREV
2.55
·
ALCARAZ
1.58

Odds

Market
Zverev
Alcaraz
Winner
2.55
1.58

Player analysis

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 30. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 5.02Trend mixed

C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 11.28Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

14 MarSinner2-6 4-6L
12 MarFils2-6 3-6W
10 MarTiafoe3-6 4-6W
8 MarNakashima6-7 7-5 4-6W
6 MarBerrettini3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

14 MarMedvedev3-6 6-7L
13 MarNorrie6-3 6-4W
11 MarRuud6-1 7-6W
10 MarRinderknech6-7 6-3 6-2W
8 MarDimitrov6-2 6-3W

Hard court stats

Zverev
Stat
Alcaraz
66.9%
Win rate
78%
341–169
W–L
156–44

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

46
Hard 14
Indoor 20
Clay 12
A. Zverev vs C. Alcaraz head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsAlcaraz6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5
CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsAlcaraz4-6 3-6
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorZverev7-6 6-4
ATP French OpenClayFinalAlcaraz3-6 6-2 7-5 1-6 2-6
ATP Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsAlcaraz3-6 1-6
ATP Australian OpenHardQuarter-finalsZverev6-1 6-3 6-7 6-4
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorZverev7-6 3-6 4-6
ATP US OpenHardQuarter-finalsAlcaraz6-3 6-2 6-4
ATP MadridClay1/8-finalsAlcaraz6-1 6-2
French OpenClayQuarter-finalsZverev6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6