C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.5, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.