Odds
Market
Sinner
Alcaraz
Winner
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Player analysis
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
DS 13.49Trend mixed
C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
DS 11.28Trend mixed
Recent form
Hard court stats
SinnerStatAlcaraz
80.5%Win rate—%
248–60W–L—
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
Aces10
Double faults2
BP saved60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
Head to head
4–6
Indoor 3–0
Hard 0–2
Grass 1–0
Clay 0–3
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Others matches | Alcaraz | 5-7 6-7 | |||
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 5-7 | |
| Six Kings Slam | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 2-6 4-6 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 1-6 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Final | Sinner | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6 4-6 6-7 6-7 | |
| Rome | Clay | Final | Alcaraz | 6-7 1-6 | |
| Six Kings Slam | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 6-7 6-3 6-3 | |
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Final | Alcaraz | 7-6 4-6 6-7 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 |