CincinnatiHardQuarter-finals15 Aug 2025 · 21:15
A. Rublev
#13 · Russia
VS
C. Alcaraz
#2 · Spain
RUBLEV
4.62
·
ALCARAZ
1.24

Odds

Market
Rublev
Alcaraz
Winner
4.62
1.24

Player analysis

A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 2.8Trend up

C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.67Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rublev
Stat
Alcaraz
62.8%
Win rate
78%
311–184
W–L
156–44

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

15
Hard 02
Grass 01
Indoor 02
Clay 10
A. Rublev vs C. Alcaraz head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
DohaHardSemi-finalsAlcaraz7-6 6-4
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsAlcaraz3-6 6-4 5-7
WimbledonGrass1/8-finalsAlcaraz7-6 3-6 4-6 4-6
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorAlcaraz6-3 7-6
ATP MadridClayQuarter-finalsRublev4-6 6-3 6-2
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorAlcaraz7-5 6-2