MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2026 · 20:05
C. Alcaraz
#2 · Spain
VS
S. Korda
#47 · USA
ALCARAZ
1.14
·
KORDA
6.75

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Korda
Winner
1.14
6.75
Total
line 16.5
1.03
Over 16.5
7.4
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.04
Over 17.0
6.95
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
13
-8.5 games
1
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
12.5
-8.0 games
1
+8 games

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.67Trend mixed

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Korda
78%
Win rate
62.5%
156–44
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

42
Hard 01
Clay 21
Grass 10
Indoor 10
C. Alcaraz vs S. Korda head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardATP 1/16-finalsKorda3-6 7-5 4-6
ATP French OpenClay1/16-finalsAlcaraz4-6 6-7 3-6
ATP LondonGrassSemi-finalsAlcaraz6-3 6-4
French OpenClay1/16-finalsAlcaraz4-6 4-6 2-6
Monte CarloClay1/16-finalsKorda7-6 6-7 6-3
Next Gen Finals - MilanIndoorFinalAlcaraz4-3 4-2 4-2