C. Alcaraz comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 22 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 18.8, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

S. Korda shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.