Odds
Player analysis
Z. Zhang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.7, meaning Z. Zhang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving Z. Zhang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Zhang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 18.0, with at least one match where A. Mannarino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Wong | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 23 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 18 Feb | Mensik | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Baena | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 15 Feb | Bolt | 6-2 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 13 Mar | Harris | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Bicknell | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 25 Feb | Shimabukuro | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 3-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Zhang | 6-1 6-3 |

