BucharestClayATP Final31 Mar 2026 · 11:40
D. Merida Aguilar
#86 · Spain
VS
J. J. Schwaerzler
#170 · Austria
AGUILAR
1.4
·
SCHWAERZLER
3.06

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Schwaerzler
Winner
1.4
3.06
Total
line 20.5
1.69
Over 20.5
2.17
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.76
Over 21.0
2.06
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2.55
-4.5 games
1.52
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.16
-4.0 games
1.7
+4 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.06Trend up

J. J. Schwaerzler has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 16.9, with at least one match where J. J. Schwaerzler was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. J. Schwaerzler vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. J. Schwaerzler has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 0.7Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Schwaerzler
61.9%
Win rate
58.5%
143–88
W–L
72–51

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
D. Merida Aguilar vs J. J. Schwaerzler head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BucharestClayATP FinalAguilar6-2 6-2