Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
L. Carboni comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning L. Carboni has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Carboni vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 May | Jodar | 1-6 0-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 May | Buse | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 May | Carabelli | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 20 May | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 19 May | Gea | 6-2 7-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 May | Caniato | 7-6 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 May | Ivanov | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 18 May | Forti | 5-7 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 17 May | Ruggeri | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 May | Djere | 2-6 1-6 | L |

