OddsArchive
Pinnacle line movement — Thursday, May 21, 2026
42 matches · ATP 14 · WTA 15 · CH 13
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
H. Barton vs D. Michalski Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.62 → 1.45 | -10.2% | ↗ |
A. Rinderknech vs A. Bublik ATP - Singles: Geneva | 1.73 → 1.56 | -10.1% | ↗ |
C. Wong vs J. C. Prado Angelo ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.76 → 1.58 | -10.3% | ↗ |
S. Kraus vs A-L. Friedsam WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.24 → 1.33 | +6.8% | ↗ |
H. Barton vs A. Matusevich Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.38 → 1.31 | -4.7% | ↗ |
I. Ivashka vs A. Hernandez Challenger Men - Singles: Bengaluru 3 (India) - Qualification | 1.20 → 1.18 | -1.7% | ↗ |
J. Faria vs L. Neumayer ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.86 → 2.04 | +9.6% | ↗ |
A. Guerrieri vs C. A. Caniato Challenger Men - Singles: Cervia (Italy) - Qualification | 1.56 → 1.48 | -5.2% | ↗ |
T. Samuel vs G. Bueno ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.74 → 1.89 | +8.7% | ↗ |
M. Cecchinato vs A. Pellegrino ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.41 → 1.39 | -1.3% | ↗ |
A. Galarneau vs F. Cina ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.30 → 1.27 | -2.1% | ↗ |
M. Sasikumar vs A. Gray Challenger Men - Singles: Bengaluru 3 (India) - Qualification | 1.11 → 1.13 | +1.7% | ↗ |
V. Mboko vs L. Fernandez WTA - Singles: Strasbourg | 1.65 → 1.63 | -1.8% | ↗ |
E. Pridankina vs H. Sakatsume WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.50 → 1.51 | +0.8% | ↗ |
J. Cristian vs D. Kasatkina WTA - Singles: Strasbourg | 1.56 → 1.66 | +5.9% | ↗ |
J. Teichmann vs Y. Kabbaj WTA - Singles: Rabat | 1.18 → 1.18 | +0.2% | ↗ |
A. Nedic vs M. Alkaya Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.57 → 1.50 | -4.9% | ↗ |
A. Holmgren vs F. Diaz Acosta ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.36 → 1.33 | -2.3% | ↗ |
A. Kalinina vs A. Bondar WTA - Singles: Rabat | 1.70 → 1.75 | +3.1% | ↗ |
I. Buse vs U. Humbert ATP - Singles: Hamburg | 1.52 → 1.41 | -7.1% | ↗ |
L. Romero Gormaz vs S. Stephens WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.65 → 1.59 | -3.8% | ↗ |
M. Navone vs J. Munar ATP - Singles: Geneva | 1.78 → 1.90 | +6.7% | ↗ |
T. Paul vs D. Altmaier ATP - Singles: Hamburg | 1.42 → 1.43 | +0.8% | ↗ |
M. Chwalinska vs S. Lamens WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.28 → 1.23 | -3.4% | ↗ |
A. Krueger vs M. Stoiana WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.42 → 1.39 | -2.0% | ↗ |
H. Stewart vs O. Milic Challenger Men - Singles: Bengaluru 3 (India) - Qualification | 1.58 → 1.65 | +4.6% | ↗ |
A. Michelsen vs L. Tien ATP - Singles: Geneva | 1.90 → 1.81 | -4.6% | ↗ |
D. Svrcina vs T. Faurel ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.21 → 1.24 | +2.6% | ↗ |
A. Popyrin vs C. Ruud ATP - Singles: Geneva | 1.29 → 1.32 | +2.3% | ↗ |
J. De Jong vs M. Zheng ATP - Singles: French Open | 1.46 → 1.44 | -1.5% | ↗ |
M. Poljicak vs M. Mrva Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.81 → 1.76 | -3.0% | ↗ |
A. Ayeni vs F. Agamenone Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.25 → 1.23 | -1.9% | ↗ |
S. Zhang vs E. Navarro WTA - Singles: Strasbourg | 1.37 → 1.32 | -3.9% | ↗ |
P. Marcinko vs J. Bouzas Maneiro WTA - Singles: Rabat | 1.67 → 1.63 | -2.3% | ↗ |
D. Michalski vs B. Hassan Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.76 → 1.75 | -1.0% | ↗ |
B. Gadamauri vs P. Nesterov Challenger Men - Singles: Cervia (Italy) - Qualification | 1.52 → 1.51 | -0.2% | ↗ |
H. Guo vs S. Costoulas WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.65 → 1.62 | -1.7% | ↗ |
T. Monteiro vs F. Agamenone Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.40 → 1.41 | +0.7% | ↗ |
C. Osorio vs P. Udvardy WTA - Singles: Rabat | 1.36 → 1.38 | +0.7% | ↗ |
A. Korneeva vs J. Riera WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.67 → 1.69 | +1.1% | ↗ |
M. Sherif vs G. Minnen WTA - Singles: French Open | 1.84 → 1.85 | +0.4% | ↗ |
A. Nedic vs M. Poljicak Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification | 1.84 → 1.84 | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Thursday, May 21, 2026
42 Pinnacle tennis markets closed on May 21, 2026, spanning 9 tournaments across clay and hard courts. The odds tracker recorded an average line movement of 3.6% from open to close, with 10 markets showing shifts of 5% or above. Shortening was the dominant direction of movement, accounting for 57% of all markets. Detailed match-by-match analysis below.
Biggest Odds Shifts in Tennis — May 21, 2026
Market analysis for May 21, 2026 identifies five matches where Pinnacle adjusted odds most aggressively. C. Wong vs J. C. Prado Angelo in the ATP French Open led all movers at -10.3%, with the line travelling from 1.76 at open to 1.58 at close (sharp money entered on the favourite). Next was H. Barton in CH-M Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification at -10.2% (1.62 → 1.45, sharp money entered on the favourite), followed by A. Bublik in ATP Geneva at -10.1% (1.73 → 1.56, sharp money entered on the favourite).
Fourth and fifth: J. Faria in the ATP French Open at +9.6% (1.86 → 2.04, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and T. Samuel in the ATP French Open at +8.7% (1.74 → 1.89, the market moved against the favourite). A combined total of 48.8 percentage points of movement — 2.7x what you'd expect from five average markets — illustrates how significantly Pinnacle revised its probability estimates for these particular matches on May 21, 2026.
Market Direction on May 21, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
May 21, 2026 line movement breakdown: 42 total markets, 10 significant movers (>5%), 24 odds shortened, 17 drifted, 1 unchanged. The largest single move was 10.3% on J. C. Prado Angelo. The smallest non-zero move was 0.2% on J. Teichmann in WTA Rabat. Challenger events accounted for 31% of the day's markets and 20% of significant moves — consistent with higher variance seen in lower-tier events.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (or CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without restricting them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.