Sao LeopoldoClay1/16-finals31 Mar 2026 · 21:35
C. M. Zarate
#533 · Argentina
VS
J. P. Varillas
#286 · Peru
ZARATE
4.95
·
VARILLAS
1.202

Odds

Market
Zarate
Varillas
Winner
4.95
1.202
Total
line 20.0
1.84
Over 20.0
2
Under 20.0
Total
line 19.5
1.69
Over 19.5
2.17
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2
+4.5 games
1.72
-4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.85
+5.0 games
1.99
-5 games

Player analysis

C. M. Zarate comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning C. M. Zarate has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. M. Zarate vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS -1.85Trend mixed

J. P. Varillas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 39.0, with at least one match where J. P. Varillas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. P. Varillas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+32) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 12.83Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Zarate
Stat
Varillas
52%
Win rate
59.1%
51–47
W–L
238–165

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults1