Sao PauloClay1/16-finals24 Mar 2026 · 23:10
J. P. Varillas
#286 · Peru
VS
G. Miguel
#1186 · Brazil
VARILLAS
1.568
·
MIGUEL
2.53

Odds

Market
Varillas
Miguel
Winner
1.568
2.53
Total
line 20.5
1.546
Over 20.5
2.44
Under 20.5
Total
line 22.0
1.85
Over 22.0
1.83
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.82
-3.0 games
1.86
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.84
-2.5 games
2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. P. Varillas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 39.0, with at least one match where J. P. Varillas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. P. Varillas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+32) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 12.83Trend mixed

G. Miguel comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning G. Miguel has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Miguel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Miguel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -7.19Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Varillas
Stat
Miguel
59.1%
Win rate
31.8%
238–165
W–L
7–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4