ValenciaClay1/16-finals12 May 2026 · 10:35
J-L. Struff
#80 · Germany
VS
N. Alvarez Varona
#475 · Spain
STRUFF
1.27
·
VARONA
3.94

Odds

Market
Struff
Varona
Winner
1.27
3.94
Total
line 18.5
1.35
Over 18.5
2.83
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.56
Over 19.5
2.21
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
3.72
-6.5 games
1.22
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
3.26
-6.0 games
1.28
+6 games

Player analysis

J-L. Struff comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning J-L. Struff has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J-L. Struff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.85Trend up

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Alvarez Varona has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -3.38Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Struff
Stat
Varona
59.7%
Win rate
53.4%
209–141
W–L
111–97

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4