Odds
Player analysis
N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Faria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning J. Faria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Faria has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Apr | Ratti | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 18 Sep | Boitan | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Roncadelli | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 1 Sep | Faria | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 29 Aug | Bailly | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 30 Apr | Krumich | 6-2 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Guerrieri | 3-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Hurkacz | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Halys | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Safiullin | 6-4 3-6 6-7 | L |

