Odds
Player analysis
Y. Starodubtseva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Y. Starodubtseva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
S. Sierra shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 80. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving S. Sierra vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 27 May | Rybakina | 3-6 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 24 May | Blinkova | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 20 May | Kalinina | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 19 May | Boluda | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 16 May | Keys | 1-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 May | Paolini | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 24 May | Raducanu | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 14 May | Yastremska | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 May | Juvan | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 12 May | Monnet | 6-4 6-0 | W |

