French OpenClay1/32-finals27 May 2026 · 18:20
J. Paolini
#13 · Italy
VS
S. Sierra
#68 · Argentina
PAOLINI
1.565
·
SIERRA
2.59

Odds

Market
Paolini
Sierra
Change
Winner
1.565
2.59
Total
line 20.5
1.76
Over 20.5
1.96
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.909
Over 21.0
1.98
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.926
-3.0 games
1.962
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.8
-2.5 games
2.09
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Paolini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS 1.45Trend mixed

S. Sierra has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving S. Sierra vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 5.07Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Paolini
Stat
Sierra
59%
Win rate
72%
118–82
W–L
152–59

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults4