MadridClayATP Semi-finals20 Apr 2026 · 10:10
Z. Svajda
#88 · USA
VS
R. Sakamoto
#159 · Japan
SVAJDA
2.47
·
SAKAMOTO
1.58

Odds

Market
Svajda
Sakamoto
Winner
2.47
1.58
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.88
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.42
Over 20.5
2.49
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.84
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.81
-2.5 games
2.01
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Z. Svajda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning Z. Svajda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Z. Svajda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS -6.66Trend up

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.5 to 12.5, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 2.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Svajda
Stat
Sakamoto
26.9%
Win rate
52.9%
7–19
W–L
18–16

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3