MarrakechClayATP Final30 Mar 2026 · 14:00
M. Trungelliti
ATP #81Argentina
VS
R. Sakamoto
ATP #153Japan
TRUNGELLITI
1.47
·
SAKAMOTO
2.75

Odds

Market
Trungelliti
Sakamoto
Winner
1.47
2.75
Total
line 19.5
1.64
Over 19.5
2.07
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.73
Over 20.0
1.97
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
3.2
-5.5 games
1.29
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.93
-5.0 games
1.34
+5 games

Player analysis

M. Trungelliti comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 18.5, with at least one match where M. Trungelliti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 2.1Trend up

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -2.88Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Trungelliti
Stat
Sakamoto
59.7%
Win rate
52.9%
327–221
W–L
18–16

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
TrungellitiSakamoto

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #81Trungelliti vs SakamotoATP #153

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Trungelliti 60% (327221) · Sakamoto 53% (1816)

Quick comparison

TrungellitiStatSakamoto
60%Clay W%53%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
60%BP conv (L5)40%
5Aces (L5 avg)6