Hong KongHard1/16-finals6 Jan 2026 · 06:40
L. Sonego
#62 · Italy
VS
R. Sakamoto
#164 · Japan
SONEGO
1.5
·
SAKAMOTO
2.74

Odds

Market
Sonego
Sakamoto
Winner
1.5
2.74

Player analysis

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -0.08Trend mixed

R. Sakamoto comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.98Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

22 JanMusetti6-3 6-3 6-4L
20 JanTaberner6-4 6-0 6-3W
8 JanShang3-6 4-6L
6 JanSakamoto6-2 7-6W
7 NovNorrie4-6 6-2 6-4L
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarAssche7-6 6-3L
10 MarDraxl6-3 7-5W
3 MarKopriva6-4 7-6L
21 FebCrawford6-4 6-3L
20 FebCina7-6 3-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Sonego
Stat
Sakamoto
49.1%
Win rate
58.3%
136–141
W–L
67–48

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults3