MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 11:10
R. Sakamoto
#159 · Japan
VS
V. Gaubas
#124 · Lithuania
SAKAMOTO
1.93
·
GAUBAS
1.91

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Gaubas
Winner
1.93
1.91
Total
line 20.0
1.28
Over 20.0
3.08
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.38
Over 20.5
2.62
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.4
-3.0 games
2.68
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.52
-2.5 games
2.3
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.5 to 12.5, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 2.21Trend mixed

V. Gaubas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.5 to 13.5, with at least one match where V. Gaubas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+33) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 1.47Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Gaubas
52.9%
Win rate
62.5%
18–16
W–L
135–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved90%
Aces4
Double faults1
BP converted40%