L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.6, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 11.3, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.