StuttgartClayWTA Quarter-finals17 Apr 2026 · 20:15
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
RYBAKINA
1.084
·
FERNANDEZ
9.76

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Fernandez
Winner
1.084
9.76
Total
line 18.5
1.81
Over 18.5
2.07
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.95
Over 19.5
1.75
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.73
-5.5 games
2.05
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.41
-4.5 games
2.68
+4.5 games

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

L. Fernandez shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.9 (range: -4.5 to 17.6). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 8.88Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Fernandez
69.4%
Win rate
52.3%
75–33
W–L
34–31

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

32
Clay 10
Indoor 10
Hard 12
E. Rybakina vs L. Fernandez head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
StuttgartClayWTA Quarter-finalsRybakina6-7 6-4 7-6
TokyoIndoor1/8-finalsRybakina4-6 3-6
WashingtonHardSemi-finalsFernandez6-7 7-6 7-6
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsFernandez3-6 7-6 6-4
WTA DohaHardQuarter-finalsRybakina4-6 2-6