Odds
Player analysis
A. Tomljanovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Wang | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Ruse | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 27 Feb | Birrell | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Jovic | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |

