US OpenHard1/32-finals27 Aug 2025 · 23:10
J. Ostapenko
#24 · Latvia
VS
T. Townsend
#80 · USA
OSTAPENKO
2.07
·
TOWNSEND
1.83

Odds

Market
Ostapenko
Townsend
Winner
2.07
1.83
Total
line 18.5
1.28
Over 18.5
3.15
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.33
Over 19.0
2.94
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
4.05
-5.5 games
1.18
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
3.64
-5.0 games
1.22
+5 games

Player analysis

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.45Trend mixed

T. Townsend has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Townsend vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 7.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Ostapenko
Stat
Townsend
57%
Win rate
56.6%
207–156
W–L
150–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2