ZadarClay1/16-finals17 Mar 2026 · 14:45
L. Neumayer
#227 · Austria
VS
S. Nagal
#278 · India
NEUMAYER
1.637
·
NAGAL
2.34

Prediction

Handicap — S. Nagal +3
Odds: 1.7 · DeuceHQ model
Normal
31%
Nagal win prob
69%
Model strength
1.7
Recommended odds

Odds

Market
Neumayer
Nagal
Change
Winner
1.637
2.34
Total
line 21.5
1.85
Over 21.5
1.84
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.719
Over 20.5
2.15
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.95
-2.5 games
1.74
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.2
-3.5 games
1.58
+3.5 games

Player analysis

L. Neumayer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning L. Neumayer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Neumayer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.94Trend mixed

S. Nagal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.0 to 22.6, with at least one match where S. Nagal was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 4.1Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

6 MarWendelken2-6 7-6 4-6L
4 MarRybakov6-4 6-4W
7 FebMochizuki3-6 3-6W
27 JanFearnley3-6 6-7L
23 JanGojo7-5 5-7 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

26 FebGill6-7 6-0 3-6L
24 FebNoguchi1-6 2-6W
19 FebCina6-4 6-4L
17 FebSanchis3-6 5-7W
12 FebBiryukov4-6 7-6 6-3L

Clay court stats

Neumayer
Stat
Nagal
59.9%
Win rate
57.5%
172–115
W–L
177–131

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

10
Hard 10
L. Neumayer vs S. Nagal head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Salzburg Challenger MenHard1/16-finalsNeumayer4-6 6-7