K. Muchova comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 28 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.5 to 14.5, with at least one match where K. Muchova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.