Odds
Player analysis
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-18 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 12 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Zverev | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Sinner | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Apr | Humbert | 3-6 0-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Apr | Machac | 2-6 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 9 Apr | Machac | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 Apr | Cerundolo | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 6 Apr | Altmaier | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.