MiamiHard1/8-finals24 Mar 2026 · 22:00
A. Michelsen
#42 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
MICHELSEN
15.2
·
SINNER
1.05

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Sinner
Winner
15.2
1.05
Total
line 15.5
1.03
Over 15.5
7.6
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.03
Over 16.0
7.3
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
9.04
-2.0 games
1.06
+2 games
Handicap
games
6.75
-2.5 games
1.08
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Michelsen shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 86. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.44Trend up

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.5, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 14.5Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Sinner
60.4%
Win rate
80.5%
183–120
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
A. Michelsen vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardATP 1/8-finalsSinner5-7 6-7
ATP US OpenHard1/32-finalsSinner6-4 6-0 6-2
ATP CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsSinner6-4 7-5