MiamiHard24 Mar 2026 · 21:00
A. Michelsen
#40 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
MICHELSEN
12.77
·
SINNER
1.059

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Sinner
Change
Winner
12.77
1.059
Total
line 20.0
1.943
Over 20.0
1.926
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
2.24
Over 20.5
1.69
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.909
+5.0 games
1.952
-5 games
Handicap
games
2.14
+4.5 games
1.752
-4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Michelsen shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 5.69Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-28 opposition. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +17.4, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+53) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 17.36Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Sinner
60.4%
Win rate
80.5%
174–114
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved100%
Aces9
Double faults1

Head to head

02
Hard 02
A. Michelsen vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP US OpenHard1/32-finalsSinner6-4 6-0 6-2
ATP CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsSinner6-4 7-5