HoustonClay2 Apr 2026 · 17:00
A. Michelsen
#35 · USA
VS
A. Popyrin
#45 · Australia

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Popyrin
Change
Winner
Total
line 22.5
1.73
Over 22.5
2
Under 22.5

Player analysis

A. Michelsen shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.2 (range: -6.8 to 24.7). Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 9.22Trend up

A. Popyrin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning A. Popyrin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Popyrin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Popyrin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -41 over recent matches.

DS -5.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Popyrin
48%
Win rate
57.1%
59–64
W–L
72–54

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces7
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces10
Double faults1