MiamiHardATP 1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 15:00
A. Michelsen
#40 · USA
VS
C. Norrie
#24 · United Kingdom

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Norrie
Change
Winner
Total
line 25.5
1.9
Over 25.5
1.9
Under 25.5
Total
line 24.5
1.73
Over 24.5
1.99
Under 24.5
Handicap
games
2.39
-2.5 games
1.52
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
3.4
-3.5 games
1.28
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Michelsen shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.98Trend mixed

C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -26.2 to 20.3, with at least one match where C. Norrie was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 0.77Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

20 MarBellucci6-2 6-1W
11 MarMedvedev6-2 6-4L
9 MarFritz6-4 7-6W
8 MarHumbert5-7 7-6 6-7W
6 MarAguilar3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

13 MarAlcaraz6-3 6-4L
11 MarHijikata4-6 2-6W
9 MarMinaur6-4 6-4W
8 MarMcDonald6-2 6-3W
24 FebJodar6-3 6-2L

Hard court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Norrie
60.4%
Win rate
60.8%
174–114
W–L
240–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2