MonterreyHardQuarter-finals21 Aug 2025 · 23:10
D. Shnaider
#20 · Russia
VS
E. Mertens
#19 · Belgium
SHNAIDER
2.54
·
MERTENS
1.57

Odds

Market
Shnaider
Mertens
Winner
2.54
1.57
Total
line 19.0
1.34
Over 19.0
2.89
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.46
Over 19.5
2.49
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.43
-3.0 games
1.52
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.61
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Shnaider comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning D. Shnaider has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Shnaider vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.97Trend down

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.1 to 30.1, with at least one match where E. Mertens was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 11.37Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

6 MarCirstea2-6 6-7L
17 FebJovic6-4 1-6 6-0L
15 FebJoint6-4 6-1W
8 FebParks6-1 4-6 6-7L
23 JanSvitolina7-6 6-3L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarBencic2-6 3-6L
8 MarBucsa6-2 6-1W
18 FebGauff2-6 7-6 6-3L
17 FebNavarro6-2 6-2W
15 FebBouzkova2-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Shnaider
Stat
Mertens
61%
Win rate
62%
89–57
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

22
Hard 11
Clay 11
D. Shnaider vs E. Mertens head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MonterreyHardQuarter-finalsShnaider3-6 7-6 7-6
RomeClay1/8-finalsShnaider6-2 6-3
StuttgartClay1/8-finalsMertens6-2 7-6
WTA MonterreyHard1/16-finalsMertens6-4