MiamiHard21 Mar 2026 · 20:30
S. Cirstea
#35 · Romania
VS
E. Mertens
#19 · Belgium

Odds

Market
Cirstea
Mertens
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.84
Over 20.5
1.89
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.5
2
Over 21.5
1.7
Under 21.5

Player analysis

S. Cirstea shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 33. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Cirstea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 6.06Trend up

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.1 to 30.3, with at least one match where E. Mertens was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 13.44Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWLWW

4W 1L last 5

20 MarNoskova2-6 6-3 4-6W
17 MarZhang3-6 4-6W
8 MarNoskova7-6 4-6 4-6L
6 MarShnaider2-6 6-7W
4 MarMaria6-4 4-6 6-3W
Recent form bar chartWLWLW

3W 2L last 5

20 MarKalieva2-6 0-6W
9 MarBencic2-6 3-6L
8 MarBucsa6-2 6-1W
18 FebGauff2-6 7-6 6-3L
17 FebNavarro6-2 6-2W

Hard court stats

Cirstea
Stat
Mertens
52.1%
Win rate
62%
264–243
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4