WTA DohaHard1/32-finals8 Feb 2026 · 13:05
A. Pavlyuchenkova
#114 · Russia
VS
E. Mertens
#19 · Belgium
PAVLYUCHENKOVA
4.53
·
MERTENS
1.24

Odds

Market
Pavlyuchenkova
Mertens
Winner
4.53
1.24

Player analysis

A. Pavlyuchenkova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.9, meaning A. Pavlyuchenkova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Pavlyuchenkova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pavlyuchenkova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.

DS -13.88Trend mixed

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.1 to 30.1, with at least one match where E. Mertens was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 11.37Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

15 FebKrejcikova4-6 4-6L
8 FebMertens2-6 1-6L
1 FebKessler6-3 6-3L
18 JanBai4-6 6-2 6-7L
4 JanCirstea6-3 6-1L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarBencic2-6 3-6L
8 MarBucsa6-2 6-1W
18 FebGauff2-6 7-6 6-3L
17 FebNavarro6-2 6-2W
15 FebBouzkova2-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Pavlyuchenkova
Stat
Mertens
58.1%
Win rate
62%
320–231
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted10%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4