ShanghaiHardFinal30 Sep 2025 · 10:25
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
VS
R. Sakamoto
#153 · Japan
MCDONALD
1.54
·
SAKAMOTO
2.53

Odds

Market
McDonald
Sakamoto
Winner
1.54
2.53

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -13.2Trend mixed

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -2.88Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

McDonald
Stat
Sakamoto
56.5%
Win rate
58.3%
268–206
W–L
67–48

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults2