Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 24 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 19.3, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
F. Marozsan comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning F. Marozsan has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving F. Marozsan vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Marozsan has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 11 Mar | Michelsen | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Baez | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 8 Mar | Tabilo | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 27 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 4-6 2-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Rinderknech | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 18 Feb | Rublev | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Humbert | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 7 Feb | Quinn | 6-3 3-6 6-7 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/16-finals | Medvedev | 6-7 4-6 7-5 6-0 6-3 | |
| Almaty | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Medvedev | 5-7 2-6 | |
| ATP US Open | Hard | 1/32-finals | Medvedev | 3-6 2-6 6-7 |

