T. Maria comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.