T. Maria comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.