Odds
Player analysis
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -51 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Tsitsipas | 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 20 Jan | Dimitrov | 4-6 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Jan | Humbert | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Mar | Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 19 Feb | Rublev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 18 Feb | Medvedev | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Echargui | 4-6 4-6 | W |

