Odds
Player analysis
M. Linette comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning M. Linette has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Linette vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Mar | Krueger | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Kasintseva | 7-5 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Maria | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Tauson | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Alexandrova | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Pegula | 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Kostyuk | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Baptiste | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | W |

