Odds
Player analysis
J. Kovalik has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 32.5, with at least one match where J. Kovalik was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Kovalik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Kovalik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
T. A. Tirante comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.3 to 29.3, with at least one match where T. A. Tirante was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. A. Tirante vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. A. Tirante has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Sep | Sorger | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 15 Sep | Moeller | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 14 Sep | Cecchinato | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 12 Sep | Tirante | 3-6 6-4 5-7 | L |
| 9 Sep | Vrbensky | 1-6 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Mar | Maestrelli | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Ahmad | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 27 Feb | Tabilo | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Buse | 2-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 21 Feb | Tabilo | 6-7 7-6 1-6 | L |

