Odds
Player analysis
M. Cecchinato shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 457. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.7 to 38.3, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
J. Kovalik has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 32.5, with at least one match where J. Kovalik was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Kovalik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Kovalik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Trungelliti | 4-6 6-0 6-3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Gea | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Martin | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 11 Mar | Kopp | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Iradukunda | 6-0 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Sep | Sorger | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 15 Sep | Moeller | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 14 Sep | Cecchinato | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 12 Sep | Tirante | 3-6 6-4 5-7 | L |
| 9 Sep | Vrbensky | 1-6 1-6 | W |

