M. Cecchinato has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

J. Kovalik has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 32.5, with at least one match where J. Kovalik was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Kovalik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Kovalik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.