Bad WaltersdorfClaySemi-finals14 Sep 2025 · 11:25
M. Cecchinato
#199 · Italy
VS
J. Kovalik
#690 · Slovakia

Odds

Market
Cecchinato
Kovalik
Winner

Player analysis

M. Cecchinato shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 457. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.7 to 38.3, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 10.9Trend mixed

J. Kovalik has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 32.5, with at least one match where J. Kovalik was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Kovalik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Kovalik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS 9.28Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

15 MarTrungelliti4-6 6-0 6-3L
14 MarGea6-3 6-4W
13 MarMartin7-6 6-3W
11 MarKopp4-6 6-3 6-4W
10 MarIradukunda6-0 6-2W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

17 SepSorger6-4 5-7 6-4L
15 SepMoeller6-2 7-5W
14 SepCecchinato6-7 2-6W
12 SepTirante3-6 6-4 5-7L
9 SepVrbensky1-6 1-6W

Clay court stats

Cecchinato
Stat
Kovalik
61.2%
Win rate
57.7%
443–281
W–L
310–227

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved20%
Aces2
Double faults4