MiamiHard1/8-finals24 Mar 2025 · 21:40
M. Kostyuk
#23 · Ukraine
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
KOSTYUK
2.57
·
PEGULA
1.57

Odds

Market
Kostyuk
Pegula
Winner
2.57
1.57
Total
line 17.5
1.14
Over 17.5
4.33
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.17
Over 18.0
4
Under 18.0

Player analysis

M. Kostyuk arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 17.19Trend mixed

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kostyuk
Stat
Pegula
63.6%
Win rate
66.4%
154–88
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

34
Clay 10
Hard 24
M. Kostyuk vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClayWTA 1/16-finalsKostyuk1-6 4-6
WTA BrisbaneHardSemi-finalsKostyuk0-6 3-6
BeijingHard1/8-finalsPegula3-6 7-6 1-6
MiamiHard1/8-finalsPegula2-6 3-6
San DiegoHardSemi-finalsKostyuk6-7 1-6
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsPegula6-2
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsPegula6-7 6-1 6-2