Odds
Player analysis
K. Khachanov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 16.3, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
M. Trungelliti comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 18.5, with at least one match where M. Trungelliti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 May | Gea | 6-3 7-6 6-0 | W |
| 20 May | Humbert | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 19 May | Gaston | 6-3 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 May | Ruud | 6-1 1-6 6-2 | L |
| 12 May | Prizmic | 6-1 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 24 May | Jacquet | 4-6 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 May | Navone | 7-5 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 6 May | Svajda | 6-0 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 23 Apr | Aguilar | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Aguilar | 6-7 3-6 | L |

