Odds
Player analysis
M. Trungelliti comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 18.5, with at least one match where M. Trungelliti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
M. Navone has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Navone vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 6 May | Svajda | 6-0 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 23 Apr | Aguilar | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Aguilar | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Gojo | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Medjedovic | 5-7 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 11 May | Medjedovic | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Auger-Aliassime | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 7 May | Shapovalov | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Berrettini | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 25 Apr | Zverev | 1-6 6-3 3-6 | L |

