Odds
Player analysis
K. Khachanov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 16.3, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 27 May | Trungelliti | 7-6 5-7 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 24 May | Gea | 6-3 7-6 6-0 | W |
| 20 May | Humbert | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 19 May | Gaston | 6-3 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 May | Ruud | 6-1 1-6 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 May | Sonego | 3-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 25 May | Hijikata | 6-4 3-6 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 23 May | Buse | 7-6 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 22 May | Minaur | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 May | Altmaier | 6-2 7-5 | W |

